New to options trading with Expected Value?
Start with the Beginner TutorialCalculate Expected Value with technical analysis and market data
Real-time Hold/Exit signals based on probability-weighted models
Track open positions and P&L across your portfolio
Certainty-equivalent risk scoring (so you never hold too long)
Alerts when trades reach your fair exit price
Stop guessing if a trade is worth it. Our calculator uses probability-weighted outcomes to give you the true expected value (EV) of debit spreads and other options strategies.
See if a trade has positive or negative EV before entering. Make objective, math-based decisions in seconds.
Compare trades side-by-side with fair pricing and edge %. Choose the best opportunities with confidence.
Make objective, math-based decisions in seconds. No more guesswork or emotional trading.
Should you lock in profit now or let your trade run? Our Hold vs Exit Analyzer uses Monte Carlo simulations to model thousands of possible price paths and recommend the best decision based on probability and edge.
Get clear Hold/Exit recommendations updated in real-time as market conditions change.
Takes into account time left, volatility, and asymmetry in payouts using advanced probability models.
Trade with confidence knowing your decisions are backed by mathematical probability, not emotions.
Professional traders rely on probabilities, not hunches. With OptionEV, you'll:
Make decisions based on objective math and probability models, not emotions or hunches.
Discover profitable trades that others overlook using advanced EV calculations and market analysis.
Stack positive EV trades over time for consistent, long-term growth in your trading performance.
Expected Value (EV) is the statistical edge that separates professional traders from gamblers. It calculates the average profit you can expect from a trade over the long term.
A positive EV trade has mathematical odds in your favor, just like the house edge in a casino.
This is a Bullish $TSLA Debit Call Spread which consists of:
Cost: $75 per contract
Expected Value: +$10.24 (13.66% ROI)
Statistically, over time, we would expect to see a $10.24 return on this trade per contract.
Every trade is analyzed using normal distribution models and real implied volatility data to calculate precise Expected Value.
Live options pricing ensures your analysis is based on current market conditions, not outdated information.
Only trades with positive Expected Value are shown. We filter out low-probability scenarios to focus on realistic opportunities.
Subscribers receive daily expert trade recommendations - 2-4 high-probability spreads selected by our research team.
"Finally, an options calculator that shows me trades with actual positive Expected Value. No more guessing - every recommendation is backed by real math."
"The real-time analysis across 488+ stocks is incredible. EdgeQuant found profitable TSLA spreads I would have never considered manually."
"The hold/exit signals are game-changing. EdgeQuant tells me exactly when to close my trades based on real-time Expected Value. No more emotional decisions or missed profits."
Join thousands of traders who have discovered the power of positive Expected Value analysis.
Start Finding Trades View AI Spread Finder